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Cake day: July 10th, 2023

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  • My guess:

    • Audi: Sainz
    • Williams: Antonelli
    • Mercedes: Ocon
    • Alpine: Schumacher
    • Haas: Bottas / Bearmen

    Sainz will most likely join the most promising team left on the grid.

    Toto will likely try to get Antonelli on the grid, but I doubt he will immediately promote him to a Mercedes seat. 1-2 years at Williams would be good training and keep other egos (like Russell, who spent too long there) in check. Ocon will likely fill the gap at Mercedes, where two experienced drivers are needed.

    Bottas and Bearmen are a safe game for Haas, as they probably look for someone with potential (Bearmen) and experience (Bottas). Zhou might be also an option due to the sponsorship money.

    Mick Schumacher at Alpine is more of a hopeful guess, as I believe Briatore will want someone with experience and a team player. Doohan might be faster, but Mick brings insights from Mercedes, and Toto is very persuasive in French.
















  • “So, I had to adapt the way I communicate in order to not create even more pressure in the team because it would break us […] It’s not because of a lack of trying that we are not competitive. So, I’d rather be helpful and encouraging and say, ‘That’s interesting’.”

    Toto Wolff appears optimistic, but there’s an underlying acknowledgment that Lewis Hamilton’s exit marks a significant shift from Mercedes’ previously unshakeable culture of success.

    It serves as a sobering reminder of past mistakes in aerodynamic design and the tendency to overlook driver feedback, a concern Hamilton has frequently raised.

    As a result, Mercedes is now in a rebuilding phase, working to recapture the winning spirit that characterized its earlier triumphs. The decision on their replacement for Lewis will be a make or break for the whole team.




  • Adrian Newey once designed the Valkyrie for Aston Martin as a side project, showcasing his passion and creativity (and probably staying connected with them).

    While I’m skeptical about him accepting their offer, considering his legacy at Mercedes, Lewis moving to Ferrari was also once unimaginable too. There were rumors about Ferrari offering him a contract. Looking at his creative sideprojects, Aston and Ferrari seem to be the only realistic options he might consider.


  • “If we were trying to draw that pattern together then probably the strongest correlation that we can make at the moment, is that our competitiveness drops when the track is warm, when the day is at its warmest and therefore the tyre temperatures rise with those of the track. […] From FP3 to qualifying in Melbourne there was not a set-up change.”

    “That will be that there are underlying characteristics in say the aerodynamic map that you’ve engineered or the suspension characteristic that is aggravating that particular feature.”

    The team’s performance dips when the track heats up, and it’s not just about setup changes. There are underlying factors in the aero or suspension setup and design that Mercedes need to fix.